Ҳодисаҳои иқтисодии дарпешистода 29 ноябри соли 2024

Вақт (GMT+0/UTC+0)	давлат	аҳамият	ҳодиса	Обу	гузашта
10:00		Нуқтаҳои 2	CPI асосии (солона) (ноябр)	2.8%	2.7%
10:00		Нуқтаҳои 2	CPI (MoM) (ноябр)	Ҷаҳони варзиш	0.3%
10:00		Нуқтаҳои 3	CPI (солона) (ноябр)	2.3%	2.0%
11:30		Нуқтаҳои 2	ECB Де Гиндос сухан мегӯяд	Ҷаҳони варзиш	Ҷаҳони варзиш
14:45		Нуқтаҳои 3	Чикаго PMI (ноябр)	44.9	41.6
20:30		Нуқтаҳои 2	Мавқеъҳои холиси тахминии CFTC Crude Oil	Ҷаҳони варзиш	193.9K
20:30		Нуқтаҳои 2	Мавқеъҳои холиси тахминии CFTC Gold	Ҷаҳони варзиш	234.4K
20:30		Нуқтаҳои 2	CFTC Nasdaq 100 мавқеъҳои холиси тахминӣ	Ҷаҳони варзиш	19.8K
20:30		Нуқтаҳои 2	Мавқеъҳои холиси тахминии CFTC S&P 500	Ҷаҳони варзиш	34.9K
20:30		Нуқтаҳои 2	Мавқеъҳои холиси тахминии CFTC AUD	Ҷаҳони варзиш	31.6K
20:30		Нуқтаҳои 2	Мавқеъҳои холиси тахминии CFTC JPY	Ҷаҳони варзиш	-46.9K
20:30		Нуқтаҳои 2	Мавқеъҳои холиси тахминии CFTC EUR	Ҷаҳони варзиш	-42.6K
21:30		Нуқтаҳои 2	Тавозуни ФР	Ҷаҳони варзиш	6,924B

Хулосаи рӯйдодҳои иқтисодии дарпешистода дар 29 ноябри соли 2024

1. Eurozone CPI Data (Nov) (10:00 UTC):
   • CPI асосии (YoY): Пешгӯӣ: 2.8%, гузашта: 2.7%.
   • CPI (MoM): Пешина: 0.3%.
   • CPI (солона): Пешгӯӣ: 2.3%, гузашта: 2.0%.
     Rising inflation figures would indicate persistent price pressures, supporting the EUR by reinforcing expectations for continued ECB tightening. Lower readings could weigh on the EUR, suggesting easing inflationary trends.
2. Де Гиндос аз ECB сухан мегӯяд (11:30 UTC):
   Remarks from ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos may offer insights into the ECB’s inflation outlook and monetary policy. Hawkish tones would support the EUR, while dovish remarks could soften the currency.
3. US Chicago PMI (Nov) (14:45 UTC):
   • Пешгӯӣ: 44.9, гузашта: 41.6.
     A reading below 50 signals contraction in manufacturing activity. Improvement would suggest recovery in the sector, supporting the USD. A weaker result may weigh on the currency.
4. Мавқеъҳои холиси тахминии CFTC (20:30 UTC):
   • Tracks speculative sentiment in равғани хом, тилло, баробарӣва асъорҳои асосӣ.
     Changes in net positions provide insights into market sentiment and trends, influencing commodity, equity, and FX markets.
5. Тавозуни ФР (21:30 UTC):
   Weekly update on the Federal Reserve’s assets and liabilities. Changes in the balance sheet could indicate adjustments in monetary policy tools, influencing USD sentiment.

Таҳлили таъсири бозор

• Eurozone CPI Data & ECB De Guindos Speech:
  Higher inflation figures or hawkish comments from De Guindos would support the EUR, signaling persistent price pressures and potential for further ECB tightening. Lower CPI readings or dovish remarks may weigh on the EUR.
• ИМА Чикаго PMI:
  An improvement in manufacturing activity would suggest resilience in the US economy, supporting the USD. Further contraction would signal continued challenges in the sector, softening the currency.
• Мавқеъҳои тахминии CFTC:
  Changes in speculative positions reflect market sentiment. For example, increasing crude oil speculative positions suggest rising demand expectations, potentially supporting oil prices.
• Тавозуни ФР:
  Significant changes in the balance sheet could influence expectations for quantitative easing or tightening, impacting USD sentiment.

Таъсири умумӣ

Озмоиш:
Moderate, with the Eurozone inflation data and US Chicago PMI driving key market movements. Speculative positioning and the Fed’s balance sheet provide additional insights into market sentiment.

Натиҷаи таъсир: 6/10, driven by critical inflation data from the Eurozone, US manufacturing activity, and central bank insights influencing the EUR and USD.